Friday, August 21, 2009
Low Cost Playgrounds
1) Thailand
2) China
3) Malaysia
4) Indonesia
5) India
6) Philippines
7) Vietnam
8) Cambodia
9) Laos
10) South and Central American countries
If you leave the #10 out, the rest are:
a) big enough for you to explore a lifetime
b) near to one another so not costly to travel from another
If you like this group of countries (#1 to 9), then you could survive on US$10,000/y as of 2009. With 9 countries to choose from, you can plan your time in a calendar year to easily to fit into the VISA rules' constraints. Averagely, you need only a 1-month VISA from each country ONCE each year if you plan to visit each ONCE only. But you could visit many of these countries more than once each year, after some months away. So, theoretically, with these 9 countries to choose from, you should always be able to get a VISA from one of these at any time in a year.
Even better for nomads is this region also has the best of everything the West can offer. If you want world-class financial services, HK and Singapore have it. If you want state-of-the-art medical services, India, Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore have it. So, you could conveniently do your banking, investment, annual health screening, vaccination, and medical treatment in one of these countries.
Thursday, August 20, 2009
Choosing Your Regular Playgrounds
But the ideal playground---where you spend your time when you retire and spend your retirement income---should be the opposite: low costs. From the financial angle, these should be in developing countries. Of course, if you prefer developed countries like Western Europe or Japan, then you need a larger retirement fund.
So, the logic behind why some people can afford to retire much earlier is: there is a economic gap between where they accumulate their savings and where they spend your savings.
Most people can, with enough willpower, save up US$1,000 or more every month by working in a big city in a developed country. Younger people might take a second part-time job to attain this level of savings. If this (US$12k/y) is invested in a balanced fund (stocks and bonds) and earns a compounding rate of 7% per year, it take 12 yrs to reach a savings of US$215k. This assumes that the savings rate doesn't increase over the years when the person's salary should have increased as a result of higher mastery of the habit of saving and his professional skills through experience. If a person had started to do this at age 20 straight after university, then he could have attained the US$215k in his early 30s. If he had done this for 15y, the nest egg would have grown to US$302k. As illustrated, this could be sufficient to sustain the retirement of many young retirees who live within the budget of US$10k/y.
After illustrating with the figures, it's not difficult to understand why so many people had managed to retire young and become a global nomad. What you need are:
1) Start early, preferably in your 20s. Time will be on your side
2) Cut your expenses and save regularly
3) Invest regularly using Dollar-Cost Averaging. In simple words, a same amount every month, whether the market is up or down. When the market is down you buy more units of the fund. Over the long term, time is on your side, because when the market recovers, the additional units of fund will be worth more.
4) Invest in a balanced, diversified fund with 50-70% stocks and 30-50% bonds. Keep your investments simple. This money should be something you don't need and won't need in the future 15-20 years, and which you can set aside for long term investment.
5) Buy insurance while you are young and healthy.
6) If you have dependent parents, insure them. This safeguards you against the possibility of having to use your savings to pay for their healthcare if they become sick uninsured. Also, manage their retirement income in such a way that their savings can sustain their retirement (without having to mess with your savings).
7) Do your health screenings annually and treat any disease you discover as early as possible. Good health=less costs.
8) Minimize the number of dependents. If you are single, you have less dependents, so it's easier for your to save up as much as possible and to make the transition to nomadic lifestyle.
So, kick-start your US$1k/month regular savings plan asap.
Discretionary $ and Savings Rate: Crucial Factor in Determining your Assets
If you are young and single, hence mobile, you should choose to work in a place---even overseas---where you can maximize your savings rate. This way, you can shorten the period of your financial accumulation period, and retire earlier.
As you can see, the % of your salary that you can save doesn't matter as much as the absolute figure itself: e.g. US$150 or US$1000.
For those who are keen to know more, perhaps they should read some books (meant for laymen) about the subject also. Some important topics include:
1) The habit of regular savings
2) Thrift and cutting back on discretionary spending
3) Invest the excess in income producing assets that generate a stream of passive income (income that will be generated without you having to actively manage the assets or business)
4) Insurance to safeguard against uncertainties
5) Calculating how much you need (monthly expenses), which varies according to WHERE you intend to live
6) From the above, ascertain when your passive income can exceed your expenses. When you passive income exceeds your expenses and you have some emergency fund (liquid cash), you are theoretically Financially Independent because you don’t have to work a day to survive.
A very simple model might be:
1) You have a job paying US$5,000 after-tax salary.
2) You pay off your debts asap. So the $5k can be used to pay for your expenses + savings
3) You reduce your expenses and set a target saving rate, say $3,000/m.
4) You invest your $36k/y in assets that generate passive income. For example, stocks, bonds or property.
5) You ascertain that you want to live in Southeast Asia most time, and that you need US$10,000/y.
6) To derive the $10k/y, you could, for example,
a) own a property costing $150k and rent it
b) keep a stock and bond mutual fund of $250K and withdraw 4% pa from it
c) purchase an annuity with a single consideration of $180K, for which the insurance company promises to pay you a guaranteed $10k/year for as long as you live, plus a variable bonus
Of course, the above 3 examples differ in their levels of effort and predictability. The first option may require some effort from you to find the tenants, collect the rental, fix the property, etc. unless you hire a friend or estate management firm to help you do these.
Option 2 requires less effort. You can park your mutual fund in an online brokerage and instructs it to remit the withdrawals of 4% electronically to your bank, and access the money with your debit/ATM card from any major town or city with an ATM machine. But the 4% is projected, not guaranteed, to be sustainable, based on historical data.
Option 3 is the most predictable because you are guaranteed the $10k every year plus some bonuses. But you may not be able to withdraw the fund for emergency use like you could if you had invested in a mutual fund instead. But it may also be its most important advantage since you do not want to play with your income source. If you could withdraw it, you may spend it away and lose the goose that lays the golden eggs.Similarly, you can instruct the insurance company to pay the annuity pay-outs to your card-linked bank account and withdraw that income wherever you are.
Having dealt with the income, you might, of course, want to save a little more which you can use for emergency. But if you want too much emergency fund, you may procrastinate the transition to nomadic lifestyle.
After reading the blogs of several nomads, it seems that it is quite manageable for them to live on US$10k/y, so the above examples may give you a clue as to how much you really need to become a nomad yourself. Perhaps $180k in an annuity plus some allowance in mutual funds and money market funds (cash-like investment) could work. Of course, knowing that the US$ is likely to depreciate due to the enormous debt the US is having, it’s more advisable to park your annuity in one or two countries whose governments are fiscally responsible and sound, and whose currencies are likely to appreciate over time. Good examples would be politically neutral & stable small states such as Switzerland & Singapore. With a Swiss or Singaporean annuity, some investments in a balanced and globally diversified mutual fund and some liquid assets like bank deposit, you could be assured of a steady stream of income for as long as your live, plus some allowance for emergencies. If you also have some insurance, you would have additional protection.
Many experts have suggested that the past decades of growth had been sustained with US debts, and that the coming years may see a depression to correct the irrational exuberance. This forecast is economically sound. So, I’d play safe by parking at least half if not all of my income producing fund into a low-risk investment like annuity in order to secure a guaranteed stream of income. If growth will be slow in the coming years, then my investment in mutual funds may not be sustainable if I withdraw 4-5% every year from it for years. It may shrink, and I may be forced out of retirement in this worst case scenario.
For those who are keen in full instead of semi-retirement, the above provides some insights into how to plan for that ultimate day when you can become theoretically Financially Independent.
Thursday, July 2, 2009
Insurance for HTA & Global Nomads
In a nutshell, an insurance plan is a financial tool to help you transfer unwanted risks (specified in writing) to an insurer. You pay a premium which is in most cases predictable (of course, in some plans, where specified, the premium rate may be revised if the claims experience is very bad). For this the insurance agrees to compensate you if a risk event had occurred.
Whether you want to get an insurance depends on your preference. If you have millions of dollars and are not worried about risks like medical conditions that can lead to hundred of thousands of dollars for treatment, you may choose to self-insure. For most, buying an insurance with a relatively affordable amount that they can set aside every month is the preferred way. If they don't spend this amount on insurance, that amount may often go to things like entertainment and shopping which, once consumed, do not have any lasting benefit. Between these and insurance, the later is a more beneficial and prudent spending. You've got to talk to your financial planner to discuss these issues since every person's situation is different.
Typically, there are a few types of insurance that you should consider:
1) Life insurance (commonly includes Terminal Illness and/or Permanent and Total Disability):
If you have dependents who need you to provide for them, you need to set aside an estate (amount that is available to them when you die) while you are still alive so that, in the event you die unexpectedly these persons can live on without financial constraints. Things in your estate may include your house, your jewelery, deposits in the bank, stocks, etc. Of course, if these are still not enough for your dependents, then you buy life insurance to increase your estate's value. As to how much you need, it's really subjective. It depends on how much your dependents need and/or how much legacy you want to leave behind to a Charity or religious institution whom you want to donate to.
Many life insurance plans also include TI/PTD. Typically, if your doctor certifies that you are likely to die within 12 months (eg. you are suffering from some advanced stage cancer and your doctor has ruled out any chance of survival beyond 12 months), you may file a claim for TI. PTD typically refers to the permanent loss of ability to carry out ANY business or work for income (income making ability, in short). Additionally, the permanent and total loss of sight/ both eyes or any two limbs typically also are accepted as PTD. In the event of PTD or TI, those life insurance plans that include these covers typically 'accelerate' the benefits payment (pay out the death benefits even though the insureds have not died) and the life insurance typically terminates after all the death benefits have been paid out.
2) Hospital and Surgical Insurance (H&S):
Which reimburses your expenses from hospitalization and surgical operations. Sometimes, they also cover outpatient treatments for cancer and kidney dialysis. Some plans give you a fixed amount of cash regardless of how much these expenses are, based on the number of days you stay in a hospital or on the number and complexity of the operations you had undergone. This is considered an essential plan for most people. Even if they have no dependent (eg. both their parents had passed away, and they are single), they are likely to need medical treatments covered under such plans before they die. Unless, of course, if they die in an accident instantly! Both most people don't die like that.
3) Disability Income:
Gives you a fixed amount of monthly income until you reach a certain age if you can no longer work. You may be suffering from a disease or had become physically handicapped in an accident. But the important thing to note is that it typically covers you only if you are working. So, a full-time traveler who had retired may not be able to buy these plans. However, if you can prove that you are still working as, for example, a journalist or blogger (income-earning profession), it may be possible to be insured.
4) Long Term Care plans:
which covers you in the event that you cannot perform at least a number (eg. 3) of the "6 Activities of Daily Living" (eg. feeding or bathing yourself). If you can't perform 3 or more these ADLs you would need someone to take care of you and there comes a cost. You may be admitted into some hospital or nursing home. You may live at home but hire a nurse or maid to take care of you. Or your spouse may need to resign and stay home to take care of you. All these come at a cost. These plans would pay you a monthly benefit (usually stated in advance, say $2000/month) once a claim is approved, and as long as you are still considered unable to peform the same ADLs. Premium is usually not payable by you when you are receiving the benefits, and the benefits are usually payable up to for a number of years (eg. 5, 6 or 10) or for life, depending on the contractual terms.
5) Critical Illness aka Dread Disease plans
Which cover very specific types of disases like major cancers, heart attacks, strokes, etc, which are defined in the contracts. The definitions may differ (unless the insurers decide to standardise the definitions amongst themselves) from one insurer to another, so a person suffering from a cancer may be able to claim from one insurer but not another. Many critical illnesses may be so severe that they cause sufferers to spend hundreds of thousands of dollars for treatment and nursing care and even lose the ability to work for a few years or for life. So, by having a lump sum of money if one is down with one of such illnesses is helpful in many ways. First, the person can use the money to pay for treatments or home nursing. Second, he may resign and rest at home and use the benefits to pay for his monthly expenses. Many CI plans are packaged with life insurance, so once a person makes a claim for CI, the entire plan terminates. Otherwise, CI may be purchased separate from life insurance so that the life insurance protection remains even after a claim on CI had been made.
6) Travel insurance:
For full-time traveler, you should be very interested in travel plans. They cover many things that are of concern to you. A few things that are worth mentioning are:
a) Typically they offer International SOS assistance service which is very important especially when you travel to places with poorer access to medical services. The reason why this is so important is IS offers advice on which hospitals to choose. They put only those of a good-enough quality in their listing. Also depending on your policies' terms, IS may be able to arrange for cashless admission to hospitals (without you having to pay a deposit first). Typically, they also have a qualified doctor available to offer medical advice on the phone. If you are sick or injured overseas and you are located in some remote places, this service is of great value.
Also, more travel insurance companies also incorporate other forms of essential advisory over the phone (eg. hotels nearby, ATM machines' location, embassies' location, relaying of your urgent messages to your family, legal advice if you are arrested by the police, etc....... )
b) They typically offer public liability. If you accidentally kills or injures a person or burn a hotel, you may be sued and be ordered to compensate the affected person's family or businessowner.
c) They offer emergency evacuation.
Friday, April 10, 2009
Is the end in sight?
Monday, April 6, 2009
HTA's Financial Fortress: Where to Start First?
Secondly, you need to start building your wealth by first safeguarding it. You should purchase sufficient insurance to ensure that even if you become sick or disabled, you can still achieve your savings goal. Your health is the most important, for without it no matter how skilled you are you can't translate it into wealth.
After these 2 foundation areas are reinforced, you can then accumulate your wealth by learning to be thrifty and to develop the habit of regular saving as young as you can. Invest the savings into stocks, bonds and properties according to your risk tolerance. Even better, you can invest in a business that you are familiar with, because by doing something you are most familiar with, you are more certain of the return on investment.
Friday, April 3, 2009
How much is enough?
1) How much you need for regular expenses: traveling costs, wear and tear of your possessions, accommodation, food, entertainment, insurance premium, phone, VoIP or internet charges, etc.
2) How much you need if you run into unexpected health problems (aging, sickness, disability)
3) How much you need if you run into unexpected problems associated with traveling.
I think these vary along. For eg, if you travel by backpacking, sleep in 10-bedded hostel bunks, and minimize entertainment, then you could survive on US$30/day in most parts of the world for Area 1. Area 2 also depends on where you will be seeking medication or nursing care. Area 3 is usually well-covered by travel insurers. So, the easiest way to deal with 2 and 3 is to purchase the relevant insurance in your preferred countries of seeking medication, nursing or travel insurance claims. You may want to buy a backpacker's travel insurance from a UK, and a medical or Long-Term Care insurance from Thailand or Malaysia, for example. Insurance is the most straightforward means to deal with Areas 2 and 3.
Area 1 is what most people are clueless about. To ensure that you have US$30/day or around US$11,000/year for daily expenses and another US$1,000 for items like computers, clothes, water filter and shoes, you need a few sources of income that generate US$12,000/year adjusted for inflation. Supposed you have a fully paid annuity or rental property that pays you exactly this amount, then you have more certainty. You can have another source of income as a back-up for your annuity or rental income in case your tenant vacates your property or your US$12,000 annuity income shrinks in purchasing power over time. You may have a fund consisting of bonds and stocks for this back up, plus one year's budget reserve in cash (US$12,000 cash). But supposed you buy the financial planner's story that stocks and bonds are better than property or annuity in terms of yield, and ask how much should you have in stocks and bonds to generate this US$12,000/y, then you should aim at around
(100/3.5 x Annual Budget).
3.5% is considered a sustainable rate of return. But if you are retiring much younger, you can lower this to 3.0-3.3 to be safer.
For example, if you annual budget is US$12,000, and you are assuming a Safe Withdrawal Rate of 3.5%, then you should have (100/3.5 x US$12,000=US$342,857 in a fund that is invested 60% in stocks and 40% in bonds). For more details about SWR and how to withdraw from this US$342857 fund, google on SWR. Supposed you want to play safe, and assume only 3.0% return, then your fund needs to be (100/3 x US$12,000= US$400,000). So you should have a fund between US$343,000 to US$400,000 in stocks and bonds if you need US$12,000/y. This is a rough guide to how to calculate the money you need to retire today. And, of course, the returns is net of charges. So, if you invest in a fund with some annual management fees, you should take that into consideration.
Thursday, April 2, 2009
Flexible Working Hours: The Key to Starting Half-Time Adventuring Earlier
Wednesday, April 1, 2009
Transport & Savings Rate: 2 Important Variables
In order to travel with minimal expenses, your half-time adventuring can start from your neighboring and regional cities or countries. Ideally, you should travel to all these destinations via bus or budget airlines. While you are covering these destinations, you give your savings sufficient time horizon to grow. After covering these cheaper destinations, you can proceed to further destinations later when these savings can pay for part or all of the
higher costs.
In summary, to optimize your ability to cover as many dream destinations as you can in this life, you should control the variables of transport costs and savings rates. When you are younge, you should reduce the transport costs as much as you could by traveling to nearer destinations, and increase the savings rate as far as you can by allocating as little on travel as you can.
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Half Time Adventuring
Traditionally, people have thought of 'retirement' as something for the old and unhealthy, who are 65 or above. But if we were to follow the state's definition of 'retirement' as a time for us to start pursuing our own interests, many of us would be either too unhealthy or have lost most survival years to do so. At 65, most people would suffer from one or more chronic illnesses. At 65, most would live less than 25 more years, of which many may be in need of Long-Term Care (LTC).
On the other hand, a growing number of young professionals, especially from the middle-class, are in favor of early retirement. Some luckier ones had managed to accumulate sufficient assets as young as below 40, and had invested the money in a way that generates a lifelong regular income that can sustain their needs. They never need to work again by living within this income. Many of these early retirees have stopped working altogether or earn a small, irregular income, on which they don't depend, from freelance writing. Most time, they travel around their country or internationally.
For the majority of people who aren't lucky enough to be able to accumulate so much assets that allow them to not need to work for life, there is a Middle Path, which I term half-time adventuring. To do this, you work during half the month, and travel during the other half.
Of course, in order to do this, you need to work in a job that allows you that flexibility. Better still, you should be self-employed so that you need not report to anyone except yourself. You may be a property agent, a freelance accountant, lawyer, or consultant, or a web designer. You may not necessarily need a job that can be done fully online, from anywhere in the world where there is internet connection. But what you need is a job that doesn't require you all 4 weeks in a month. This way, you will be able to be away for travel for 1-2 weeks, and work during the other weeks, every month.
In the subsequent postings I shall explain how this could be done.